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Mayor and Council Race Poll Analysis

May 6th, 2009 Jersey No comments

Well this was interesting, eh?

We’ll do another one of these about a week before the primary- but as it stands right now, the Jersey Mike Mayor and Council Poll Results are (sort of) right where I thought they’d be.

Respondents were gathered from posting the link on my Twitter and Facebook accounts in addition to a link on the Harrisburg Forum of PennLies…er, PennLive.

Starting with council, it’s looking like Papenfuse, Kim, Summerford and Harris in the lead. Bringing up the rear is Mikey Thomas, Pat Stringer, Eugenia Smith, Joe Brown, Danielle Green and Pat Stringer. council-poll

In my humble opinion, Pat Stringer should just drop out and scatter her few votes to more capable candidates. Again, she seems like a nice enough lady…but I can picture her making me a warm bowl of soup on a cold winter day…sort of like my Grandmother.

The most surprising name in the top four is certainly Kelly Summerford. Based on what I’ve heard, this guy doesn’t have much street-support outside of his immediate family and friends. What’s he going to bring to the table? Dance lessons? Acting lessons?

(And do keep in mind that there is certainly room for error in this poll. The system isn’t foolproof and it is quite possible that the votes could have been stacked by visiting multiple computers, proxy sites or IP masking.)

Onto the Mayoral poll-

Nothing shocking, here. What’s going to happen is this: Les and Linda are going to potentially cancel each other out. Giving Reed the leeway needed to muster up enough support to get a ninth term as Mayor.
mayor-poll

On the surface, this poll shows Les Ford leading with 37% of respondents selections. Close behind is Steve Reed with 33%, Thompson with 21% and Republican Candidate Nevin Mindlin with 9%.

Realizing that this is just a simple and unscientific study, much of the Thompson street-support didn’t participate. Either because of not knowing or just not wanting to. Either way, I was certain there would have been more support for Linda than Les. But hey, it’s just a poll from a blogger, right?

This is where the process gets fun. Watch the mailers. Look at all of the campaign signs and propoganda hitting the streets. And listen to what these people have to say at the upcoming candidates debates.

This is getting good….

I “Met” The Candidates Tonight

April 14th, 2009 Jersey 7 comments

“The best candidate for elected office is the one who isn’t running”

There was a full house in the conference room at the Zembo Mosque tonight.

It was the Landmark Neighborhood Association’s “Meet The Candidates” night.

If you’re not familiar, the ” Landmark Neighborhood Association” covers, essentially, the fourteenth ward.

So the host was on home turf.

All of them were there.

Linda Thompson, Les Ford, Nevin Mindlin, Joe Brown, Fran Harris, Michael Thomas, Danielle Hairston, Patty Kim, Kelly Summerford, Eric Papenfuse, Pat Stringer…and in the last inning, Wanda Williams and Mayoral-incumbent Steven Reed arrived.

Each candidate was given five minutes to answer two questions- chosen by the Landmark Neighborhood Association and delivered to (most) participants at least seventy-two hours prior to the event.

The candidates were asked to answer (in five minutes time) the following questions: how to make sure residents across the city receive the same level of services, and how to improve the performance of the Harrisburg School district.

The way that I’m about to describe my analysis of the candidates replies to the questions is based on the following:

1. The candidates appeared preparedness for the questions.

2. The candidates answers’ relevance to the questions.

3. The candidates general demeanor while speaking to the attendees.

4. The candidates projected confidence, passion and honest energy.

5. And, ultimately, my belief in the candidates genuine motives for running for a new (or repeated) position serving his or her community-

The Mayoral candidates answered first…

(Enjoy)

Les Ford: I really like Les. And I really want to vote for him. But I can’t get past the notion that his wife Sheila is running (and writing) his campaign.

Obviously, anyone who’s paying attention knows full-well that Les and Sheila have an axe to grind with regard to the School District. Les Ford is a very smart man and has absolute leadership abilities…but based on the delivery of his answers tonight,  I really don’t know if he’s the right man for the job of Mayor of Harrisburg.

The strong point of his answers (though, I’m not sure how relevant they were) was that he’d like to “listen to the community”

That’s a strong point.

Nevin Mindlin was next.

Again…I want to believe in Nevin. But I didn’t hear the passion. I didn’t hear the gumption that I’m looking for in a Mayoral candidate. Nevin Mindlin said “This is why I’m not running for Mayor [of Harrisburg]. I’m not running because I need a career. I’m not running because I need a pension”.

He proceeded to throw obvious and slow-pitch hits back to the audience of roughly 150. Transparency and accountability. “Customer/Citizen” metaphorical-comparison focus. Manager/employee comparisons. But I’m not 100% sure his passion is there. He wants to run for Mayor…but I’m not convinced of what he’d do with the position if elected.

Linda Thompson.

Oh, Linda.

Your delivery is (almost) believable.

The vocal-urgency is there.

Most of us give you a pass with your pronunciation or complete fabrication of words.

It seems like your heart is in the right place.

But I can’t shake the “Kill Whitey” demeanor of your delivery.

Sure, poverty-stricken and crime-ridden neighborhoods need more attention than places like Shipoke.

But if you utter one more word about “minorities” in a city whose population is nearly seventy percent African American and twenty five percent Caucasion…I might just choke on my chicken wing.

And do us non-denominational a favor: leave the God shit out of the campaign forum.

My vote won’t go to the most-pastoral.

And then, we went on to the council-candidates.

(I’ll try to summarize these in a sentence or two)

Patty Kim said that her opinion of the best way for the future Mayor and Council to work together is to work out their differences behind closed doors.

And I couldn’t agree more.

Does a boss and his General Manager fight in front of the staff?

Of course not.

Neither should our Mayor and Council.

Do what’s best for the general-good of the city…and you’ll see a happy community.

In my experience with dealing with Council and the Administration, Patty Kim has been. hands-down, the most accessible, resourceful, and dependable public servant to hold a position in the current administration. Therefore, she’ll most likely get one of my four votes for council this coming May 19th.

Pat Stringer:

Do we need another Vera White?

Look…Pat Stringer would be a great candidate for Woman Who Most Resembles My Grandmother…with the Baking of The Cookies and the Cooking of The Pasta.

But I would never vote for this woman as a member of a representative council of the citizens of this city.

Fran Harris.

Has never run for- nor has she held a- public office.

She doesn’t even have kids.

But something about this woman exudes confidence. She has a warm and welcoming aura about her. I’m going to need to see her again, but so far…she’s off to a good start. Fran Harris has potential to be a great City Council member for Harrisburg.

Joe Brown:

Was this guy serious?

No, seriously..

Was this guy fucking serious?

Dude, I don’t care who your cousins are.

And yeah, you’re a physically-big guy.

But you can’t bully your way into a position of authority in this city. (Or maybe you can)

Michael Thomas:

So, look.

I heard about the pot-bust.

And most of us know about your bankruptcies.

And that mortgage?

Yeah, it’s no secret.

So it’s no surprise that your rambled, unrehearsed, forced replies to tonight’s questions left us all wondering: “He said what!?”

Your only saving grace was your support of reform to the Police and Fire residency requirement.

But even that was old-hat.

Mike Thomas needs to show some sincerity in his delivery if he wants to secure my vote.

Kelly Summerford.

Creepy and full of shit.

If you believe in what’s good for this city..do not vote for this man.

Eugenia Smith.

I really appreciated what she had to say about supporting the family unit. I was pleasantly surprised by her candor. I’d like to know more about “Gina” Smith.

Danielle Hairston.

Was my second surprisingly intriguing candidate of the night. Another ousted-school board member, I was almost moved by her sincerity in improving the overall environment of the school district. “I have integrity” and “I am an informed decision maker” were the two resonant quotes of her presentation.

Eric Papenfuse.

Eric is, without a doubt, my number one vote for Harrisburg City Council in the coming election. Everything about this man screams honesty, integrity and unfettered dedication to making the City of Harrisburg a wonderfully prosperous place to live.

And late to the game were-

Wanda Williams.

“I’m sorry I was late to arrive. There was a Budget and Finance committee meeting and I’m happy to report that we’re [the City of Harrisburg] operating with a 1.7 Million Dollar surplus!”

Really?

Are we, Wanda?

Posturing like that won’t win votes.

Sure, on your paper we may be in a surplus…but anyone who lives here knows that there are more potholes in our streets than Kettle Corn vendors at Kipona Fest. We know there are more prostitutes roaming the streets on an average Thursday night than there are police officers. We know that the Incinerator is costing this fine city more than one million dollars a month.

Pardon my Ebonics, but…who you tryin’ to fool?

Mayoral-incumbent Steven Reed.

Was on the muthafuckin warpath tonight.

Steve Reed delivered an 11th our missive (after arriving late due to a Thousand Dollar A Plate fundraiser at the Harrisburg Midtown Arts Center) which, no doubt, rattled the confidence of Ford, Mindlin and even Stone Cold Thompson.

The guy’s been in office for twenty eight years.

And it’s gonna take a heluva lot more than bible-thumping, education-touting and, well, passive income bragging to defeat him…

Still got four weeks to go.

And color-me-stupid if this ain’t one heck of an intense administration race in Harrisburg.